HIV is not capable of wiping out the world's population- science and history prove
Caldwell, 03, George, PhD in Biology and Political Science, http://www.foundation.bw/TheEndOfTheWorld.htm
Disease could wipe out mankind.[sic] It is clear that HIV/AIDS will not accomplish this – it is not even having a significant impact on slowing the population explosion in Africa, where prevalence rates reach over thirty percent in some countries. But a real killer plague could certainly wipe out mankind. The interesting thing about plagues, however, is that they never seem to kill everyone – historically, the mortality rate is never 100 per cent (from disease alone). Based on historical evidence, it would appear that, while plagues may certainly reduce human population, they are not likely to wipe it out entirely. This notwithstanding, the gross intermingling of human beings and other species that accompanies globalization nevertheless increases the likelihood of global diseases to high levels.
AFRICA’S AIDS CRISIS WON’T SPILL OVER INTO MILITARY CONFLICT OR GLOBAL ECONOMIC PROBLEMS.
Eberstadt 02 (Nicholas, Henry Wendt Chair in Political Economy at the American Enterprise Institute, Senior Adviser to the National Bureau of Asian Research, Foreign Affairs November- December)
Africa's AIDS catastrophe is a humanitarian disaster of world historic proportions, yet the economic and political reverberations from this crisis have been remarkably muted outside the continent itself. The explanation for this awful dissonance lies in the region's marginal status in global economics and politics. By many measures, for example, sub-Saharan Africa's contribution to the world economy is less than Switzerland's. In military affairs, no regional state, save perhaps South Africa, has the capacity to conduct overseas combat operations, and indeed sub-Saharan governments are primarily preoccupied with local troubles. The states of the region are thus not well positioned to influence events much beyond their own borders under any circumstances, good or ill -- and the cruel consequence is that the world pays them little attention
Highly entrenched cultural traditions encourage high-risk behaviour
Ruben 06 (Matthew, CSA editor, “Scourge of a Continent: The Devastation of AIDS, HIV Prevention Policies, and the Relief Effort in Sub-Saharan Africa,” February, http://www.csa.com/discoveryguides/afraid/review.php)
One researcher, investigating behavior in Malawi, emphasizes this point, saying that social conceptions of desirable living—based on women's views as well as men's—run counter to abstinence and fidelity as well as condom use. She writes, "Men say that multiple partners are desirable because each woman is different: just as 'You can't eat only nsima every day' (nsima, made from cornmeal, is the staple food.)" These attitudes also reflect the fact that polygamy was routinely practiced in a variety of southern African cultures as recently as a century ago. Furthermore, fidelity is not the only cultural norm working against HIV containment. Some research reports a deep-seated unwillingness to discuss sex in the family, either between husband and wife or between father and child. A researcher studied sexual behavior in Tanzania, and found that in addition to widespread infidelities on the part of men, "Confessing to your partner about an 'illicit' relationship is beyond consideration: it is not only too cruel, but disrespectful." And few reports of sub-Saharan African policies suggest a widespread acceptance of condoms. A study of preferences of both men and women in Ghana referred to condoms as being a "double agony" in that they cost money (not a trivial concern in countries as poor as Ghana) and then take away from the pleasure of sex. While these concerns do not imply that condom promotion is entirely ineffective, they suggest such programs' limitations. Beyond these tendencies, a different sort of cultural norm is also contributing to the spread of HIV. In sub-Saharan Africa, 75% of young people infected are female. Girls who are not equipped with proper education and are not on an equal footing with men are often coerced into sex or marriage, and may be forced to become sexually active at a very young age, with disastrous results. Furthermore, women are physically more susceptible to HIV infection from sex than men because the female genital tract has a greater exposed surface area than the male genital tract. Rape is not uncommon, especially in areas with significant gender inequality. Studies suggest that infected males are significantly more likely to infect females than the reverse. And violent rape, which is abrasive and damages tissues, leaves a woman even more susceptible. Even faithful women must concern themselves with their husband's fidelity. Compounding these issues is the fact that, particularly in rural areas, poverty encourages women into sexual liaisons as a survival strategy.
HIV is not capable of wiping out the world's population- science and history prove
Caldwell, 03, George, PhD in Biology and Political Science, http://www.foundation.bw/TheEndOfTheWorld.htmDisease could wipe out mankind.[sic] It is clear that HIV/AIDS will not accomplish this – it is not even having a significant impact on slowing the population explosion in Africa, where prevalence rates reach over thirty percent in some countries. But a real killer plague could certainly wipe out mankind. The interesting thing about plagues, however, is that they never seem to kill everyone – historically, the mortality rate is never 100 per cent (from disease alone). Based on historical evidence, it would appear that, while plagues may certainly reduce human population, they are not likely to wipe it out entirely. This notwithstanding, the gross intermingling of human beings and other species that accompanies globalization nevertheless increases the likelihood of global diseases to high levels.
AFRICA’S AIDS CRISIS WON’T SPILL OVER INTO MILITARY CONFLICT OR GLOBAL ECONOMIC PROBLEMS.
Eberstadt 02 (Nicholas, Henry Wendt Chair in Political Economy at the American Enterprise Institute, Senior Adviser to the National Bureau of Asian Research, Foreign Affairs November- December)Africa's AIDS catastrophe is a humanitarian disaster of world historic proportions, yet the economic and political reverberations from this crisis have been remarkably muted outside the continent itself. The explanation for this awful dissonance lies in the region's marginal status in global economics and politics. By many measures, for example, sub-Saharan Africa's contribution to the world economy is less than Switzerland's. In military affairs, no regional state, save perhaps South Africa, has the capacity to conduct overseas combat operations, and indeed sub-Saharan governments are primarily preoccupied with local troubles. The states of the region are thus not well positioned to influence events much beyond their own borders under any circumstances, good or ill -- and the cruel consequence is that the world pays them little attention
Highly entrenched cultural traditions encourage high-risk behaviour
Ruben 06 (Matthew, CSA editor, “Scourge of a Continent: The Devastation of AIDS, HIV Prevention Policies, and the Relief Effort in Sub-Saharan Africa,” February, http://www.csa.com/discoveryguides/afraid/review.php)One researcher, investigating behavior in Malawi, emphasizes this point, saying that social conceptions of desirable living—based on women's views as well as men's—run counter to abstinence and fidelity as well as condom use. She writes, "Men say that multiple partners are desirable because each woman is different: just as 'You can't eat only nsima every day' (nsima, made from cornmeal, is the staple food.)" These attitudes also reflect the fact that polygamy was routinely practiced in a variety of southern African cultures as recently as a century ago. Furthermore, fidelity is not the only cultural norm working against HIV containment. Some research reports a deep-seated unwillingness to discuss sex in the family, either between husband and wife or between father and child. A researcher studied sexual behavior in Tanzania, and found that in addition to widespread infidelities on the part of men, "Confessing to your partner about an 'illicit' relationship is beyond consideration: it is not only too cruel, but disrespectful." And few reports of sub-Saharan African policies suggest a widespread acceptance of condoms. A study of preferences of both men and women in Ghana referred to condoms as being a "double agony" in that they cost money (not a trivial concern in countries as poor as Ghana) and then take away from the pleasure of sex. While these concerns do not imply that condom promotion is entirely ineffective, they suggest such programs' limitations. Beyond these tendencies, a different sort of cultural norm is also contributing to the spread of HIV. In sub-Saharan Africa, 75% of young people infected are female. Girls who are not equipped with proper education and are not on an equal footing with men are often coerced into sex or marriage, and may be forced to become sexually active at a very young age, with disastrous results. Furthermore, women are physically more susceptible to HIV infection from sex than men because the female genital tract has a greater exposed surface area than the male genital tract. Rape is not uncommon, especially in areas with significant gender inequality. Studies suggest that infected males are significantly more likely to infect females than the reverse. And violent rape, which is abrasive and damages tissues, leaves a woman even more susceptible. Even faithful women must concern themselves with their husband's fidelity. Compounding these issues is the fact that, particularly in rural areas, poverty encourages women into sexual liaisons as a survival strategy.